Friday, July 11, 2014

Pocono & Iowa Mega-Post

Hello Internet! Guido here with a Scoring Indy Mega-Post. This week: I've got Pocono scores; I've got an Iowa preview; I've got numbers; I've got opinions. Should be fun! Let's hop to it!


2014 Pocono 500 Scores

Here are the scores for the Pocono 500 (feels good to say the words "Pocono 500"):

FinishDriverGridLedCompletedA.R.P.Race ScoreRSWC Points
1Montoya1452002.1072.4310
2Castroneves702004.5567.028
3Munoz302004.5457.884
4Briscoe1002006.9661.545
5Dixon1502008.7263.226
6Pagenaud11020010.1851.73
7Aleshin1202007.2554.812
8Newgarden21720012.7057.853
9Andretti5020011.7130.91
10Power2692002.7049.07
11Kanaan8782003.9854.531
12Hinchcliffe6019913.1120.87
13Carpenter13019910.3632.67
14Wilson16019915.6125.81
15Saavedra19019916.6825.55
16Bourdais18119912.3227.99
17Kimball17019815.0518.86
18Hunter-Reay9018117.230.86
19Rahal14015715.227.26
20Huertas2008919.434.99
21Sato40259.240.90



Observations

- Now, I'm a weird person, but I'm just going to come out and say it. I love fuel mileage racing. And, I don't mean that in the sense of "every race is a fuel mileage race." I mean that I love it (love, love, LOVE it) when strategy decides a race. I understand that expressing my opinions this way makes me a minority, but I'm not a gear-head. I don't know the first thing about cars (maybe the first, but by the eleventh thing, I'm probably toast). What I am, is a gamer. I love playing games. I have an undergraduate minor in Economics, which I got accidentally because I wanted to take a course in Game Theory. And strategy: that's gaming, that's my bag.

- Ok, for those of you that are still here, you might imagine that I loved the Pocono 500. With only the one caution period, strategy was at a premium, and for the love of Pete, it was a 500-miler with an average speed of 202.402. That's incredible!

- But, none of you are here to read me waxing poetic about fuel mileage racing. Let's look at the nuts and bolts of last weekend's race: First, it is slightly incredible that the eighth-best drive of the day: that of Tony Kanaan, comes from outside the top half of the field. Kanaan's P11 score of 54.53 is a testament to a strategy that put him out front with a chance to win in the last stint if he'd have gotten some yellow. A good run by TK, even if he thought it could have been a winner with a strategical tweak or two.

- Speaking of Kanaan, three of the four Ganassi cars wound up with Race Score World Championship points. Briscoe and Dixon both netted Race Scores of over 60 to go along with TK's 54.53. Could this season's littlest sister among the Big Three begin to turn things around similarly to last year?

- Big ups to Carlos Munoz, who just flat shows up at the big ovals. Check these numbers out: 2013 Indy 500 - 62.05; 2014 Indy 500 - 61.24; 2014 Pocono 500 - 57.88. He did crash out at Fontana in 2013, but that was in a substitute role.

- Finally, a good result for Josef Newgarden. I will say no more for fear of putting on the jinx.


Hall of Averages

I'll have more to say about all these things after Mid-Ohio, when the series gets a week to breathe, but for now, presented without comment, the average Race Scores for full-timers (I'm counting Hawksworth), then part-timers, and finally the Race Score World Championship table:

Full-Timers

DriverAverage Score
Power63.5
Castroneves52.26
Pagenaud48.97
Hunter-Reay47.13
Montoya44.27
Kanaan42.79
Dixon41.3
Briscoe39.38
Wilson38.26
Kimball38.06
Andretti38.04
Munoz35.59
Hawksworth34.04
Aleshin33.36
Bourdais33.27
Huertas30.98
Hinchcliffe28.83
Saavedra25.92
Rahal25.51
Newgarden22.91
Sato19.93

Part-Timers

DriverAverage ScoreRaces
Karam65.511
Hildebrand48.161
Tagliani45.081
Villeneuve43.731
Carpenter42.633
Davison41.471
Servia40.234
Bell31.261
Conway28.238
Plowman25.362
Filippi15.832
Mann14.761
Montagny12.751
Lazier4.151


RSWC Table

DriverPointsDifference
Castroneves51--
Power45-6
Hunter-Reay41-10
Montoya35-16
Pagenaud31-20
Dixon28-23
Kimball23-28
Munoz21-30
Aleshin16-35
Wilson15-36
Hawksworth15-36
Andretti14-37
Hinchcliffe14-37
Huertas12-39
Conway10-41
Carpenter10-41
Bourdais10-41
Kanaan10-41
Rahal8-43
Briscoe8-43
Karam5-46
Newgarden5-46
Saavedra3-48
Servia2-49
Sato1-50
Busch1-50


2014 Iowa Preview

Now, moving on to the second portion of our mega-post: briefly previewing the Iowa Corn Indy 300. I have found Iowa races to be some of my very favorite ovals, and last year's race produced something really special. Here it is:

FinishDriverQualyGridLaps LedCompletedARS
1Hinchcliffe3222625098.57
2Hunter-Reay1412025069.82
3Kanaan85025060.75
4Carpenter641825059.69
5Rahal96125059.20
6Pagenaud118025058.39
7Servia107025052.79
8Castroneves111025044.37
9Andretti43025042.27
10Viso1916025050.06
11Wilson1310524940.21
12Kimball1714024935.80
13Vautier1513024832.69
14Bourdais2219024833.96
15Newgarden1622024827.60
16Dixon515024723.86
17Power2102479.19
18Jakes2124024723.78
19Saavedra2018024713.63
20Franchitti2421024618.78
21de Silvestro232002439.35
22Beatriz182301838.66
23Sato71701622.61
24Tagliani12901390.07

- Look at that performance from Hinchcliffe: 98.57 is IMPRESSIVE stuff. Couldn't he use a performance like that again?

- Andretti and Kanaan have both been good at Iowa in the past. I wonder how they'll perform this weekend. Practice times seem to indicate that they've got a shot.

- Finally, Graham Rahal keeps making it hard for me to quit him. He had a good performance in Iowa last year, and his practice times have been good so far. We'll see after qualifications...


Stay Tuned

As always, be sure to follow me @ScoringIndy on Twitter for blog updates and (generally) terrible race predictions. Should be an exciting weekend! Enjoy the racing!

-- Guido

Friday, July 4, 2014

Let's Get Triangular -- Pocono Preview

Hello Internet! It's Guido here with a Scoring Indy race weekend preview! This weekend is the Pocono IndyCar 500, the second jewel in American Open-Wheel Racing's Triple Crown. I, personally, am THRILLED (not engaging much on Twitter will do that for you...) So, let's get down to it:


Pocono 2013


FinishDriverQualifyingGridLedCompletedARS
1Dixon7173816083.70
2Kimball1312416074.10
3Franchitti1820016075.28
4Power441516061.03
5Newgarden1615016062.20
6Pagenaud98016055.93
7Wilson2022016061.61
8Castroneves66016047.46
9Carpenter1514016049.57
10Andretti118816056.65
11de Silvestro109016034.91
12Jakes1413016036.24
13Kanaan551516034.46
14Briscoe2319015939.82
15Mann1921015932.62
16Bourdais1211015923.02
17Tagliani2424015829.43
18Rahal1716015817.51
19Vautier111001587.27
20Hunter-Reay2201212.08
21Viso2223010411.16
22Sato870617.24
23Saavedra2118022.75
24Hinchcliffe33001.39



Observations

- Honda was the power plant to have in the 2013 Pocono 400, and this race also led to the Ganassi-fueled Scott Dixon freight train that barreled its way to a series title in 2013.

- Last year's Pocono race was also a hard-luck-fest (as much of the 2013 Triple Crown was) for Marco Andretti. He burned a TON of fuel running out front for over half the race, and just got shuffled back to far to bring it home.

- Finally, this was probably the best run from Pippa Mann in a DW12. I mention it mostly because I am a fan of her radio work, and I like to acknowledge her in-car competence.


Projections

These are more fun than year-old observations. Here's what we might project forward to this year from last:

- I think that this race has the potential to get infinitely more interesting going from 400 to 500 miles. I have not seen a bad 500-miler with this chassis setup. Indy 2012 - Phenominal. Fontana 2012 - Compelling. Indy 2013 - Ridiculous passing. Fontana 2013 - Marathon. Indy 2014 - Amazing. I see no reason why Pocono 2014 can't follow suit.

- Juan Pablo Montoya is starting to round into Open-Wheel form. He has more experience at Pocono than any other driver in the field (albeit in a Cup car). He looked good at Indy. He looked good in Houston. I fully expect him to contend.

- As bummed as I am that Sage Karam won't be running his background race, I'm looking at another local to make noise. It has to work out for Marco Andretti eventually, right?

- Finally, an actual projection. Will Power sowed the seeds of his Fontana win in the Pocono Mountains last year. He was a contender even with sub-optimal equipment (and how often do you say that about a Penske...) in 2013, and I don't expect his equipment to be sub-optimal this time..


Stay Tuned

Well, that ought to get the juices flowing for this weekend's race. Be sure to follow me @ScoringIndy on Twitter for blog updates and race predictions. As always, ENJOY THE RACING. I'll see you later with predictions and scores.

-- Guido