Sunday, October 6, 2013

Race Recap -- Houston Race 1

Hello Internet! Guido here with another Scoring Indy Race Recap. I didn't get a chance to watch the first Houston race, since my father was in from out of town for my town's Fermentation Fest (I think Pressdog would have a thing or two to say about that...) Anyway, here are the numbers:


2013 Houston Race One Scores

Race Finish Driver Qualifying Grid Laps Led Completed A.R.S RSWC Points
1 Dixon 3 3 44 90 83.35 25
2 de Silvestro 6 5 0 90 63.80 12
3 Wilson 14 12 0 90 64.49 15
4 Pagenaud 5 4 0 90 56.16 8
5 Newgarden 20 18 0 90 64.77 18
6 Jakes 11 9 0 90 49.88 6
7 Rahal 19 24 0 90 57.64 10
8 Bourdais 4 14 0 90 47.58 4
9 Viso 9 8 0 90 44.27 1
10 Filippi 8 7 0 90 42.28
11 Kimball 17 16 0 90 44.15
12 Power 2 2 40 90 47.56 2
13 Andretti 12 10 0 90 29.80
14 Saavedra 21 19 0 89 33.44
15 Franchitti 10 20 0 89 24.12
16 Conway 13 11 0 85 22.30
17 Sato 1 1 6 82 9.35
18 Castroneves 22 21 0 80 19.92
19 Servia 18 17 0 63 18.29
20 Hunter-Reay 16 15 0 57 13.82
21 Kanaan 15 13 0 34 5.96
22 Vautier 24 23 0 32 5.91
23 Carpenter 23 22 0 30 3.01
24 Hinchcliffe 7 6 0 1 1.40


Observations

- Again, these aren't physical observations, since I didn't get my eyes on to the race yet, but here are my extrapolations based on the lap chart and scores.

- Punching above their weight: Wilson, Newgarden, Jakes, and Rahal all pulled in big days, despite not having the best cars. Average Running Positions for those four were 9.57, 11.37, 11.09, and 15.00 respectively. Some of that can be attributed to the time they spent working up through the field, but some of it is being on at the right time. Rahal, for instance, didn't crack the Top 10 until lap 73.

- A bad last stint'll get ya: the converse of the group above, Bourdais, Viso, and Filippi had Average Running Positions of 7.74, 7.62, and 6.06 giving them a slight under-performance in P8-P10. Now, in each case this is a result of making pit stops during or after the lap 65-69 caution and then getting burned by the next yellow. Of course, this also severely affected one other driver:

- Power unlucky again: Will Power is having a bummer of a year. Yes, he won at Sonoma, but still this has been a rough one on the driver, who (I think) we all expect to contend for titles on a regular basis. Power was ahead of Dixon based on speed (from all I can tell based on the chart) with Dixon's passes for the lead coming based on pit strategy. Even finishing in P12, Will Power had an Average Running Position of 3.42. Good drive, sir. Good drive.

- Finally, I want to commend a couple of drivers that pulled in excellent Race Scores. Josef Newgarden has shown real promise this year and his 18 RSWC Points from P5 in the race are well earned. This kid's going to be winning races before long. And, James Jakes, who has shown flashes of promise at different times throughout the year, pulls in his second RSWC Points result this season. If 45 points is the benchmark for a "good drive" under the New Formula, then this is easily Jakes' best since Detroit #2.


RSWC Update

Here are the Race Score World Championship standings after the first Houston race:

Driver RCWC Points Points Back
Dixon 168 0
Castroneves 154 -14
Hunter-Reay 126 -42
Pagenaud 126 -42
Andretti 116 -52
Franchitti 101 -67
Wilson 100 -68
Newgarden 84 -84
Kimball 82 -86
Kanaan 79 -89
Sato 76 -92
Hinchcliffe 75 -93
Bourdais 71 -97
Conway 65 -103
Power 64 -104
Viso 43 -125
de Silvestro 43 -125
Rahal 33 -135
Carpenter 29 -139
Servia 18 -150
Jakes 14 -154
Munoz 12 -156
Saavedra 12 -156
Tagliani 7 -161
Hildebrand 4 -164
Allmendinger 4 -164
Briscoe 1 -167

- Remember that lengthy RSWC post a couple of weeks ago? Well, it just got a lot simpler. The only mathematical contenders remaining to Scott Dixon (new front-runner) are: Castroneves, Hunter-Reay, and Pagenaud. And, when you consider that all Dixon has to do is score 11 more points than Helio to end the RSWC before Fontana, we can see that this little contest is all but over.

- Dixon seems to have found a luck-wagon in the second half of the season (especially on street courses) that has left him the front of the field. While carnage is almost a given (especially on street courses, I'll talk about Dario's crash in Race Two tomorrow), Dixon has had his problems in races where his rivals couldn't capitalize:

- When Dixon was penalized at Sonoma: Castroneves scored 4 RSWC Points, Hunter-Reay scored 2, and Pagenaud got 10.

- When Dixon got punted at Baltimore: Helio didn't score, RHR was already out, and Pagenaud, despite winning the race only got P2 in the RSWC standings.

- Conversely, when Dixon's foes stumble, he capitalizes. Pagenaud couldn't come close to Dixon's numbers here at Houston #1, only notching 8 points (which was still 8 more than Helio or RHR). Toronto #1 and Pocono paint similar pictures.

- I haven't run the numbers yet, but knowing what I know about the outcome of Houston #2, I'd say we're ready to crown a Race Score World Champion. Well done, Mr. Dixon. Well done.


Stay Tuned

I actually did watch Houston Race 2, so when those scores come up tomorrow, I'll be able to offer some eye-ball insight. Maybe I'll be able to gaze upon Race 1 by that point as well.

Scores for the second Houston race will go live tomorrow evening.

Until then, follow @ScoringIndy on Twitter for updates.

See you on the morrow!

-- Guido

No comments:

Post a Comment