Friday, April 3, 2015

St. Pete 2015: The Scorecard

Hey there, Internet! It's Guido, back with another Scoring Indy update. This week: the Race Scores from St. Pete; a word on how to use them; and my three-years running pet project. Let's get to it!


The Scorecard

Here's how things shook out at the 2015 Firestone Grand Prix of St. Petersburg:

FinishDriverGridLedCompletedA.R.P.Race Score
1Montoya4271102.8376.63
2Power1751101.4485.70
3Kanaan701105.0263.61
4Castroneves311103.3857.30
5Pagenaud221105.0550.52
6Bourdais601106.8750.19
7Hunter-Reay8011011.5543.11
8Hawksworth21511010.4762.92
9Filippi19011012.3852.45
10Andretti12011012.0539.31
11Rahal15011011.5941.53
12Newgarden10011010.4332.69
13Sato5011012.5718.83
14Munoz14011015.5524.93
15Dixon9011015.8913.80
16Hinchcliffe16011016.7420.10
17Chaves22011017.9524.33
18de Silvestro11011017.954.61
19Karam18010916.9213.69
20Coletti17010913.0614.96
21Kimball13010915.072.92
22Jakes20010020.152.69
23Dracone2307019.743.14
24Huertas2401923.16-1.56


Now that you've seen all these numbers, you're probably wondering...


How to Use Race Scores

This is really the crux of things. We have a tool: in this case a Race Score. How do we use it? Well, I've found in the three or four (depends on how you count) years that I've been messing around with these, that the best use is to compare drivers, both within a given race and across races.

Comparing drivers within a given race is easy. Let's look at what the Race Scores tell us about some of the performances at St. Pete:

- Power v. Montoya -- Here we have a Scoring Indy classic example. Sometimes, the dominant driver doesn't win the race. Race Score, as a tool, is meant to measure dominance. We already have a stat (finishing position) to determine position at the end of the race. So, you have Power and Montoya with the following particulars:

DriverGridLedA.R.P.Race Score
Power1751.4485.70
Montoya4272.8376.63

I think by most people's (except for Eric "Year of Montoya" Hall's) eyeball test, His Overlordship easily had the more dominant day. That's reflected in his Race Score surpassing Montoya's 85.70 to 76.63.

- Coletti v. Dixon -- You can also use a Race Score to compare drivers with less-than-dominant days. This is certainly the case with Stefano Coletti and Scott Dixon. Let's break it down by the particulars again:

DriverGridFinishA.R.P.Race Score
Coletti172013.0614.96
Dixon91515.8913.80

This time, both drivers finished worse than they started, but Coletti ran better than Dixon did. And, his finish wasn't "as bad" compared to his start. We can likely say that he had the better day, as reflected in his Race Score.

- Graham Rahal -- Here, we will continue with my perpetual curiosity. Rahal finished P11, with a top-10 level score of 41.53. Given that 45.00 is my vague standard for "Race Score of a Contender," I wonder how things would have shaken out without the penalty. Of course, in order to find something like that out, Graham would have to not get himself penalized. You've earned me another race's worth of paying attention to you, Rahal. Well played.

- Jack Hawksworth -- This is probably the most intriguing Race Score of the day. Hawksworth's stat line really tells a story. And, the story that it tells is one of taking lemons and making lemonade. Hawksworth suffered damage early, and thus had to stop under yellow at lap 35. This meant that he was able to stay out during long yellow from laps 47 to 57 (be honest, it was one yellow for all intents and purposes), which gave him the track position to finish P8, resulting in this stat line:

DriverGridFinishA.R.P.Laps LedRace Score
Hawksworth21810.47562.92

Comparing drivers across races is a little trickier, however. There are a couple of ways that you can do it. First, you can compare Race Scores from different races. That works pretty well. You can also look at average Race Scores to examine a driver's performance across a series of events. But, my favorite way to track Race Score performance throughout the year is:


The Race Score World Championship

The RSWC, as I like to call it, is my pet project. I award points to drivers based on their Race Scores, and I keep track of those points throughout the year. The best Race Score gets 10 points, followed by 8, then 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. Here's the table after this week:

DriverSTPTotal
Power1010
Montoya88
Kanaan66
Hawksworth55
Castroneves44
Filippi33
Pagenaud22
Bourdais11

It doesn't tell us much yet. But, it will. Oh, it will.


Stay Tuned

That's all for this week here on Scoring Indy. I'll be back next Friday to preview the inaugural Indy Grand Prix of Louisiana. In the meantime, a blessed Good Friday to you all (if that's you're thing) and a lovely April afternoon to you (if it's not).

See you next week!!

-- Guido

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