Friday, May 3, 2013

IndyCar Preview -- Sao Paulo 300

Hello Internet! It's Friday, and Scoring Indy is back for another IndyCar race preview. This time, the series is down in South America to race on the streets of Sao Paulo Brazil. Here's what happened last year:

Race Finish Driver Qualifying Grid Laps Led Laps Completed A.R.S.
1 Power 1 1 63 75 92.00
2 Hunter-Reay 5 5 0 75 53.85
3 Sato 26 25 0 75 89.42
4 Castroneves 20 18 2 75 74.41
5 Franchitti 2 2 1 75 37.21
6 Hinchcliffe 4 4 1 75 37.21
7 Hidebrand 15 14 0 75 52.88
8 Kimball 16 15 0 75 50.96
9 Viso 14 13 0 75 43.27
10 Barrichello 13 12 0 75 37.50
11 Servia 24 23 0 75 54.81
12 Pagenaud 17 16 0 74 37.38
13 Kanaan 12 11 0 74 24.08
14 Andretti 11 10 0 74 18.36
15 Jakes 18 17 0 74 27.82
16 Rahal 7 6 0 74 3.13
17 Dixon 3 3 8 74 -2.07
18 Bourdais 19 22 0 74 22.05
19 Conway 8 7 0 73 -6.14
20 Beatriz 21 19 0 73 13.46
21 Carpenter 22 20 0 72 11.54
22 Wilson 6 26 0 66 -0.54
23 Newgarden 9 8 0 61 -14.99
24 de Silvestro 23 21 0 28 4.33
25 Briscoe 10 9 0 21 -4.50
26 Legge 25 24 0 20 1.15


Observations:

- Classic Will Power domination from that part of last season. He was just 4 laps led away from a 100 point performance (we only had one last year, bonus points if you know who it was before that race's preview this year.)

- Numbers that jump off the page: Sato at 89.42; Castroneves at 74.41; Servia at 54.81.

- Remarkable things about Sato's numbers: 75 laps completed (a rarity many times for Taku, hopefully after his win at Long Beach that starts to change); charging from P25 on the grid to P3 at the end; this might be the start of a good little run for Sato (we know he has speed at Indy...)

- Remarkable things about Castroneves' numbers: hes' the highest scoring Brazilian in a Brazilian race with four Brazilians in it (considering that he was the highest Brazilian in points last year, that shouldn't be totally remarkable, but still); Helio was also the tiebreaker in the eternal "Did Penske have a good weekend?" question: Briscoe didn't race long, with the dreaded "Contact" annotation in the box score and Power dominated, so Did Penske have a good weekend? Yes, and Helio's the tiebreaker.

- Remarkable things about Servia's numbers: he's the highest finishing (and highest scoring) Lotus by a WIDE margin (seriously, does anyone remember how bad those Lotuses were?); he gains 12 positions and nearly cracks the top 10 with an engine at a SERIOUS power disadvantage (although, for the Barber, Long Beach, and Sao Paulo races last year, everyone was at a Power disadvantage, Bazinga!); all this on the course with the longest straight on the schedule. Remarkable, no matter how you slice it. And, now his race team is shutting down. Seriously, can we just all send Dennis Reinbold like 20 bucks? Although, if everyone that reads my blog send 20 bucks, he'd get like 200 bucks... But still!! This is just frustrating to me.

This Year:

This race this year is going to be a little funky for me. I have to go to my denomination's regional assembly. And, church meetings are church meetings, so it's likely that they will run long. I don't begrudge that; that's just the way it goes. So, I'm not going to get a lot of eyeball/eardrum time on the race this weekend. I think that this could be cool. I'm going to go primarily by the numbers, and I'm interested to see how my predictions and analysis match up with those who watched the actual pictures.

On a mathematical note: we're back to 25 cars this week, so positions count for more.

Stay tuned to @ScoringIndy on Twitter. There will still be Twitter Predictions, even if I don't see a lick of qualifying. Besides, all you good people on the internet will keep me informed.

Let's go racing!

-- Guido

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