Monday, April 22, 2013

A Long (Beach) Look Back

Hello Internet! Before we sit down for our lovely data picnic, how about one big general observation from the Long Beach GP:

- I was SUPER happy to see Sato bring it home. I have enjoyed watching him race (especially this year and last), but I have not enjoyed watching him crash. This time, he raced well and did not crash. If you read the last two sentences, you can infer that I enjoyed all that put together. The other reason that I enjoyed Taku's run is that I only have one degree of separation from AJ Foyt (one of the members of my parish knows him). And, this makes AJ the IndyCar owner to whom I am most closely connected in a Kevin Bacon-ish type way. Years from now, when this blog makes me IndyCar famous (that's like normal famous, except just for IndyCar) I will have actually met IndyCar owners, but for now my one degree from AJ Foyt is as good as it gets.


Long Beach Results

Ok, I promised you a lovely data picnic. Here it is (A.R.S. is Aggregate Race Score):

Race Finish Driver Qualifying Position Starting Position Laps Led Laps Completed A.R.S
1 Sato 4 4 50 80 86.81
2 Rahal 11 11 0 80 64.81
3 Wilson 25 24 0 80 86.11
4 Franchitti 1 1 27 80 55.76
5 Hildebrand 12 12 0 80 55.56
6 Servia 18 18 0 80 62.96
7 Andretti 26 25 0 80 73.15
8 Pagenaud 17 17 0 80 53.70
9 de Silvestro 20 19 0 80 54.63
10 Castroneves 6 6 0 80 25.93
11 Dixon 27 26 0 80 60.19
12 Jakes 13 13 0 80 31.48
13 Newgarden 16 16 0 80 33.33
14 Beatriz 23 22 0 80 41.67
15 Bourdais 15 15 0 80 24.07
16 Power 3 3 2 80 -0.60
17 Vautier 19 27 0 80 31.48
18 Carpenter 24 23 0 80 28.70
19 Tagliani 22 21 0 79 21.24
20 Kanaan 8 8 0 78 -6.85
21 Kimball 9 9 0 78 -8.70
22 Viso 10 10 0 53 -3.61
23 Allmendinger 14 14 0 51 -1.37
24 Hunter-Reay 2 2 1 49 -17.16
25 Conway 5 5 0 38 -12.04
26 Hinchcliffe 7 7 0 34 -11.25
27 Saavedra 21 20 0 1 1.70



Observations & Prediction Review

- This week we've got some pretty high highs and some pretty low lows. Just looking at the numbers, you see two drivers above 86 (Sato, who dominated the race, and Wilson, who passed EVERYONE). But, you also see eight drivers, EIGHT, who wind up with negative scores.

- Aside, I don't like negative scores. They make me sad and seem like no fun. But, there is good news, the new formula I'm working on tends to skew the numbers upward. So, come the Indy 500 and afterwards, negatives may become much rarer.

- #TGPLB Prediction 1) Franchitti de-funks himself with a good run: Top 5 Race, Top 10 Race Score.

- VERDICT: Nailed it. Kneel before Zod! P4 on track, 7th best Aggregate Race Score.

#TGPLB Prediction 2) James Jakes has a better Race Score than anyone from Andretti Autosport.

- VERDICT: Not quite. Marco Andretti makes me look foolish here. In my defense, however, the spirit of the prediction was that Rahal Letterman Lannigan was better set up for the race than was Andretti, and I think the spirit of that held true (see Rahal, Graham finishing P2). In my further defense, Jakesy CRUSHED RHR, Hinch, and Viso. 75% ain't bad, but I did say "anyone."

#TLBGP Prediction 3) Simona gets RSWC points.

- VERDICT: Yes, she does. Two of them. See below.

- #TGPLB Prediction 4) Mike Conway wins. 4a) Mike Conway races again in IndyCar this season.

- VERDICT: Dead wrong. Probably twice. I don't regret it, though. He was running pretty well (not race-winning well, but well) up until he got "Electrical"-ed out.

- All in all, two predictions perfect, one mostly, and one big swing and a miss. I'll take it.


Race Score World Championship

Here's your updated RSWC Standings:

Driver RCWC Points Points Back
Castroneves 43 0
Dixon 36 -7
Andretti 27 -16
Sato 25 -18
Hunter-Reay 25 -18
Wison 20 -23
Newgarden 15 -28
Viso 15 -28
Pagenaud 13 -30
Rahal 12 -31
Hinchcliffe 12 -31
Kanaan 11 -32
Servia 10 -33
Kimball 8 -35
Franchitti 6 -37
Bourdais 6 -37
Tagliani 6 -37
Power 6 -37
Hildebrand 4 -39
de Silvestro 2 -41
Carpenter 1 -42



- I just want to point out what a good road/street course run Marco Andretti is having. The fact that he is P3 in the RSWC boggles the mind. Maybe I was underestimating Marco, but I sure thought of him as an oval "specialist" almost (but not quite) on the order of Ed Carpenter coming into the season. Boy, am I happy to be wrong. As long as he shows well on the ovals, that is.

- Good to see de Silvestro score here. Her good qualifying position, and tire degradation were her undoing in St. Pete (although, it appears the new formula would have scored her a point or two), I think she'll be a major (or at least more major) player in the RSWC by the end of the season.

- I still stand by Ed Carpenter and his one point. He WILL score RSWC points on ovals, and his 28.70 this week was better than RSWC Leader, Helio Castroneves' 25.93. We haven't heard the last from Ed.

- Finally, as should be apparent, Castroneves fails to score, tightening things up between him, Dixon, and Andretti.

There's an open weekend before Sao Paulo, so stay tuned to the blog for the regularly scheduled Friday update. I'm going to have a little bit of fun with my Alma Mater and bicycles. Plus, you might just get introduced to a good friend of mine.

Later,

-- Guido

No comments:

Post a Comment