Friday, May 10, 2013

Re-Scoring St. Pete

Hello Internet! Scoring Indy comes back at you this week the first official look at the new formula. During May, leading up to the 500, we will be rolling out what the Race Scores would have looked like if we had used the New Formula way back when. So, we begin at the beginning: with St. Pete.

You can go and check out the post, where the New Formula was first previewed here. There you'll see the explanation of what the New Formula does (It's called "Formula A" there). Basically, it adds average running position (scaled based on percentage of race finished) as a factor together with race finish and positions gained.

On to the data!!!

Then

First, here's what we had before:


Race FinishDriverGridLaps LedLaps CompletedRace Score
1Hinchcliffe42611067.82
2Castroneves54211073.09
3Andretti7011054.00
4Kanaan11011058.00
5Dixon20011072.00
6de Silvestro3011034.00
7Viso22011068.00
8Sato2011024.00
9Wilson13011042.00
10Tagliani17011046.00
11Bourdais21011050.00
12Kimball14011032.00
13Rahal15011030.00
14Carpenter23011042.00
15Jakes18011028.00
16Power1261072.31
17Servia121610415.42
18Hunter-Reay80791.64
19Hildebrand2407821.09
20Saavedra9072-2.40
21Vautier6069-8.82
22Beatriz2505511.00
23Newgarden16050-0.36
24Pagenaud190261.64
25Franchitti10018-2.91

- So, that means that the Top Ten Race Scores were (in order): Castroneves, Dixon, Viso, Hinchcliffe, Kanaan, Andretti, Bourdais, Tagliani, Willson, Carpenter.

- My gripes, based on seeing the race, are that Hinch got robbed of the Race Score Podium and that Simona scored zero Race Score World Championship points.

- The gripes are based on "Eyeball Testing" the race. I thought that Hinchcliffe just had a better run than Viso did. Now, Viso gained BIG TIME positions. This IS to be rewarded. The reason that Scoring Indy exists is my insatiable urge to determine who had the best race. I think Viso's race was very good, better than his finish indicated for sure. I just wasn't sure it was the third best.

Now

Here's how the new formula shook things up:



Race Finish Driver Grid Led Completed Race Score R.S. Standings
1 Hinchcliffe 4 26 110 76.73 2
2 Castroneves 5 42 110 80.82 1
3 Andretti 7 0 110 61.28 6
4 Kanaan 11 0 110 64.92 4
5 Dixon 20 0 110 69.73 3
6 de Silvestro 3 0 110 51.54 7
7 Viso 22 0 110 61.64 5
8 Sato 2 0 110 39.92 12
9 Wilson 13 0 110 49.20 8
10 Tagliani 17 0 110 47.01 10
11 Bourdais 21 0 110 47.94 9
12 Kimball 14 0 110 35.24 13
13 Rahal 15 0 110 34.10 14
14 Carpenter 23 0 110 39.98 11
15 Jakes 18 0 110 33.01 15
16 Power 1 26 107 28.55 16
17 Servia 12 16 104 24.92 17
18 Hunter-Reay 8 0 79 14.16 19
19 Hildebrand 24 0 78 19.09 18
20 Saavedra 9 0 72 8.21 22
21 Vautier 6 0 69 10.93 20
22 Beatriz 25 0 55 8.92 21
23 Newgarden 16 0 50 7.75 23
24 Pagenaud 19 0 26 2.74 24
25 Franchitti 10 0 18 1.27 25

- Based on the jumbled up Race Score Standings on the right, you can see that the Top Ten Race Scores were (in order): Castroneves, Hinchcliffe, Dixon, Kanaan, Viso, Andretti, de Silvestro, Wilson, Bourdais, and Tagliani.

- If you compare the two Top Tens, you see that this is really just a re-shuffle (with the exception of Simona de Silvestro replacing Ed Carpenter on the list.)

- But, what a re-shuffle it is! The addition of average running position knocks Viso down to a well-deserved fifth, which I think is the sweet spot for the run that he had. Simona jumps from eleventh to seventh. That's perfect, because he run was superb. Hinchcliffe jumps from fourth to second, which is more like it as well.

- Note also, the benchmark of "35 is good" will need to be changed. I think will wind up being something like "45 is good" but I'm willing to adjust that as we go forward and re-score the whole season up to now.

Well, that's all I've got for today. Hope you enjoyed the look at what would have been (and what will be going forward)!

-- Guido

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